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Economic publications

  • #Economic publications

    Country and Sector Risk Barometer 2025: Into the Wild

    What will 2025 look like? Last year's electoral uncertainty may have been (partly) removed, but the horizon is still far from clear and the risks have rarely seemed so high. in the context of our central scenario we have revised seven country assessments and 20 sector assessments.

  • #Economic publications

    Deepseek sends shockwaves across AI industry and financial markets

    On 27 January 2025, a tremor swept through the financial markets and the artificial intelligence industry. Chinese start-up DeepSeek has developed an open-source, cost-efficient artificial intelligence model which has left some analysts skeptical but could threaten hundreds of billions invested in AI infrastructure.

  • #Economic publications

    Canada digs into tariff trenches as the trade war brews

    While U.S. President Donald Trump’s threat to impose 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada has been postponed to Feb. 1, uncertainty looms over a potential trade war and its economic repercussions. Discover what’s at stake and how Canada might respond.

  • #Economic publications

    Gas prices back in the spotlight as European inventories dwindle

    European gas prices are surging as inventories dwindle faster than anticipated, driven by colder weather, reduced renewable energy production, and the end of Russian gas transit through Ukraine. With stocks now below the pre-war seasonal average, Europe faces mounting pressure to secure supplies ahead of the 2025-2026 winter.

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    Greenland is still gradually moving towards independence despite Trump's ambitions

    Donald Trump's latest statements that he would not rule out economic or military measures to take control of Greenland have put the country in the spotlight, and prompted reactions from Greenland's Prime Minister, the Danish Prime Minister and other EU and NATO leaders. An important question arises: what does Trump want and why is this island strategic to him?

  • Risk Dashboard

    Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors. 

  • #Economic publications

    Nearshoring in Mexico: booming opportunity or false promise?

    Whether it’s intentional or a negotiation tactic, President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed 25% tariff on imports puts Mexico at a crossroads. Our North America Economist Marcos Carias shares his insights on the history of Mexico’s economic development and how the U.S. plays a role in its outcome.

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    Cocoa prices soar ahead of the festive season

    Every month, find out the latest news and trends in world commodity prices, thanks to the analysis of our sector economists. This month, the focus is on cocoa, whose price per tonne has reached its highest level for 6 months, exceeding 10,000 USD/tonne. An increase of 50% on the previous month!

  • #Economic publications

    Tech wars: US-China rivalry for electronics out to 2035

    Since 2017, the technology war between the US and China has been shaking up the global electronics landscape. Between sanctions, export controls and the quest for technological leadership, this rivalry is reshaping supply chains and creating major uncertainties. Yet interdependence remains strong between these two powers, despite fierce competition that could fragment the industry by 2035.

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    Made in China. How China can deal with its industrial overcapacity

    Production overcapacity is not a new phenomenon in China, but this time it concerns a greater number of products. This variety makes oversupply more difficult to control, and the shortfall in the domestic market will have to be made up by other means. Discover which ones in our study.

  • Risk Dashboard

    Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors. 

  • Coface Podcast

    Dive into the world of global trade with Coface's Trade Talk podcast. Explore captivating discussions with trade experts, explore market dynamics, and uncover strategies for growth. 

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